Kristin Slape’s BELMONT PARK PICKS
Placed for SUNDAY, June 20, 2010 1st Post 1 PM EST
Good Luck!
Pick Info:
Speed figure references are BRIS figures
FTS-First time starter
FT First time (as in FT lasix)
2nd timer-horse making 2nd career start
HFC=Horse for Course
TS = Turf Specialist
DS = Distance Specialist
OC=Optional Claiming/Allowance
MC=Maiden claiming
MDN=Maiden Special Weight
HCP=Handicap
ALW=Allowance and ST ALW =Starter Allowance
G1, G2, G3 =Graded Stakes
ML odds listed first and Fair Odds after horse name in ( ).
Stats listed are in win-ITM (in the money) format (Example
25%-50% would mean 25% wins and 50% ITM)
Alternate pick in case of scratch: these are as said, in
case of a scratch, but also can be used in gimmicks-
(consider them in order as my 5th, 6th choice). Use the
speed and class rating horses as chance LONGSHOT PLAYS or
additions to your gimmicks as they come through quite
often as well.
WAGERING TIP: Never bet against a legitimate favorite—only
bet against the favorites that are false or vulnerable
favorites. If you decided before you looked at the tote on
a particular horse because it had what it takes to win the
race and then look at the tote and the horse is 1/9, DO
NOT bet against that horse because of the odds, either sit
that race out and enjoy watching the race, OR bet it
(course 1/9 is not a smart bet), but do not hunt because
of the odds. Better to find another race where you will
get a square price than to waste a bet.
BELMONT PARK PICKS FOR SUNDAY- GOOD LUCK TODAY!
BEL RACE 1 ALW 38Kn1x 1M 1/16 iTURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 7-5-1-4 Class Rating: 7-1-5
Speed Rating: 7-1-4
Speed Par for this Race: 85
7 5/2 PLATINUMPLUS (5/2) closer is a HFC (7 2-2-2) and
likes the distance too (6 2-1-0); won at today’s distance
3 starts back (FEB) and clocked 94.
5 3/1 BOBS PINUP GIRL (3/1) presser has 2 wins at the
distance for 6 starts and beat 25Kconditioned claimers
last start, clocking 88.
1 7/2 DOUBLE DINGHY DAY (7/2) presser ran a close up 4th
last start vs 25K conditioned claimers; record at distance
(14 3-1-1)
4 5/1 BLUE HILL BAY (4/1) stalker steps up a level (6 33%-
50%) and has some decent turf back speed that would put
her in the hunt of she ran back to it.
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BEL RACE 2 MC 16K 1M 3UP
Top Selections: 5-6-2-9 Class Rating: 5-1-2
Speed Rating: 2-5-6
Speed Par for this Race: 72
5 8/5 SPLENDROUS (9/5) presser and 3 time maiden hit the
board once (on turf) but his best dirt speed is 81 and now
he drops a level (27%-73%) and makes the often rewarding
THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (22%-52%); goes turf to dirt (6 17%-
83%).
6 7/2 IMPOLITE LADY (7/2) presser ran 3rd in last vs 12.5K
maiden claimers and best dirt speed is 77. Makes 2nd start
with trainer (17 6%-29%).
2 5/1 GIUSEPPINA (4/1) closer drops a notch ((0/1-1/1) and
goes sprint to route (4 25%-25%) and goes turf to dirt (5
60%-60%); best dirt speed is 77.
9 6/1 DREAMS OF TOMORROW (9/2) drops a level (15%-45%) and
is 2 for 5 ITM lifetime.
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BEL RACE 3 ALW 52Kn2L 6F 3UP
Top Selections: 1-2-3 Class Rating: 6-2-1
Speed Rating: 1-2-3
Speed Par for this Race: 98
1 8/5 SIX CLICKS (8/5) presser ran 3rd, beaten 13L last
start vs similar and clocked 94; best dirt speed is 97.
Albertrani conditions this half lf the coupled entry; 1A
8/5 PERCUSIONIST (5/2) is trained by Bib Suroor and owned
by Godolphin Stables; will race with FT lasix (28%-62%)
and comes off a 4+ mo layoff (32%-68%); 1 for 1 at the
distance.
2 2/1 GRAYSONIA (2/1) presser faced tougher 79.5K entry
level allowance foes last start and finished 6th; DS (3 1-
1-0) and best dirt speed is 95.
3 7/2 SUN DANCE MOON (3/1) early runner makes the 2nd
start since the layoff (27%-60%) and goes route to sprint
(30%-59%); ran a very good 2nd last start vs 42K entry
level allowance company and clocked 88, but best dirt
speed is 93.
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BEL RACE 4 MDN 51K 1M 3UP
Top Selections: 1-2-3-5 Class Rating: 2-3-1A
Speed Rating: 4-1A-2
Speed Par for this Race: 96
WAGERING NOTE: A case could also be made for 4 KELLS BLUES
who has shown some speed and even the 6 KEEP ME INFORMED
(FTS Bill Mott); SIRE (A.P. Indy) Dam (daughter of
Distorted Humor) w/FTS (12%-17%); Mott is (325 8%-29%)
with FTS and he tabs Desormeaux. Contentious!
1 5/2 STRATFORD HILL (5/2) 2nd timer (18%-46%) draws the
rail winning at a 19% clip and attracts the services of
Edgar Prado in the saddle as he makes his first stretchout
to a route (10%-36%).1A 5/2 LOQUACIOUS (3/1) stalker owns
a best dirt speed of 89, fastest of any in this field thus
far; ran 2nd in both of last two starts but not that the
89 he ran was the better race of the two and that was at
today’s distance.
2 2/1 GRAND STRATEGY (2/1) presser ran an 87 last start vs
similar and the added distance may help his cause here.
3 6/1 SURREPTITIOUSLY (4/1) Shug McGaughey 2nd timer (13%-
50%) ran 84 in the debut race while finishing 6th and
figures to improve today.
5 4/1 GALLANT FIELDS (4/1) Zito 2nd timer ran a distant
3rd in the debut race vs similar last start and clocked
82; another who has opportunity to improve.
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BEL RACE 5 MDN 37K 1M 1/16 iTURF 3UP
Top Selections: 5-4-7-8 Class Rating: 2-3-7
Speed Rating: 2-3-1
Speed Par for this Race: 79
5 3/1 RODERICK (3/1) presser ran a very good 2nd last
start vs similar on the mud and clocked 86; makes turf
debut (Levine 45 7%-18%); SIRE (READ THE FOOTNOTES)-DAM (a
daughter of Polish Numbers) w/FT TURF (10%-16%).
4 7/2 WRITETHATDOWN (7/2) presser is a 2nd timer (no
stats) who clocked 76 in the debut where he ran a close
2nd at today’s distance over the BEL turf vs 35K maiden
claimers.
7 4/1 WHATEVERITTAKES (4/1) early runner is another making
his debut on sod (Schosberg 18 22%-33%); SIRE (VALUE PLUS)-
DAM (a daughter of Clever Trick) w/FT TURF (5%-9%).
8 10/1 MILITARY STAR (10/1) Stalker has high early foot;
makes the first start with Tom Bush (29 21%-45%); back
from a 7+ mo layoff (11%-38%).
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BEL RACE 6 CLM 25Kn2L 7F TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 4-3-1-5 Class Rating: 1A-3-1
Speed Rating: 1A-5-7
Speed Par for this Race: 82
4 3/1 ON VACATION (3/1) Mott charge has been facing
tougher his entire career and this is his lowest level
ever; best turf speed (87) is fastest of these; 2nd start
since layoff (19%-44%). Stalker.
3 5/2 WORTHY WAGER (5/2) presser ran a close up 4th in
last start vs tougher 50K starter allowance company and is
a threat here.
1 4/1 EL TUNE (4/1) stalker goes route to sprint (12%-42%)
and ran against tougher 45K open claimers last start. 1A
4/1 KEY VICTORY (7/2) presser ran a close up 5th last
start vs similar and clocked 81; can improve with this
THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (11%-40%).
5 12/1 BURNISHED COPPER (12/1) stalker has only 1 turf win
for 20 starts BUT has hit the board in 10 of them (20 1-5-
5) and may be a good addition to the gimmicks because he
does have some speed at times on the sod.
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BEL RACE 7 MDN 36K 6F iTURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 1-4-6-7 Class Rating: 4-1-1A
Speed Rating: 1-1A-4
Speed Par for this Race: 69
1 8/5 BERNIE’S PAL (3/1) early runner from the Linda Rice
stable makes turf debut (18%-31%); SIRE (HOOK AND LADDER)-
DAM (a daughter of High Yield) w/FT TURF (2%-11%); best
dirt speed is 83; makes the THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (19%-
48%); dirt to turf (21%-38%).1A 8/5 EAGER LEADER (8/5)
closer makes the 2nd start off the layoff (21%-38%) after
a close up 4th vs similar last start at today’s
distance.1X 8/5 SONG OF BROADWAY (5/1) MAIN TRACK ONLY;
2nd timer (RICE 17%-46%) ran a distant 6th in debut; has
to draw in.
4 4/1 RUMORS OF GLORY (4/1) closer and 2nd timer (12%-28%)
from the Kimmel barn makes turf debut (10%-33%); SIRE
(STORM CAT)-DAM (a daughter of A.P. Indy) w/FT TURF (19%-
13%).Back from an 11+ mo layoff (14%-36%); ran a 71 in the
debut on dirt.
6 6/1 READY FOR AUTUMN (5/1) FTS B. BROWN (44 2%-30%);
DEBUT ON GRASS (2 50%-100%); SIRE (MORE THAN READY)-DAM (a
daughter of Mr. Greeley) w/FT TURF (14%-10%); Castellano
is in the saddle.
7 5/1 HECK (5/1) WEAVER FT TURF (7%-36%); 2nd timer (17%-
38%); SIRE (HECKLE)-DAM (a daughter of Proud Truth) w/FT
TURF (0%-10%).
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BEL RACE 8 ALW 38Kn1x 6F TURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 7-4-1-2 Class Rating: 1-2-7
Speed Rating: 4-1-2
Speed Par for this Race: 83
7 9/2 GITCHEE GOOMIE (3/1) Violette charge ran 85 last
start on turf vs tougher G3 foes; back from a 9+ mo layoff
(18%-37%); 1st start with trainer (22%-39%). Ran as a
presser in only 2 starts.
4 7/2 ZIP BY YOU (7/2) stalker ran a 91 when beating 25K
non 3 life claimers last start and makes the 2nd start
since the layoff.
1 5/1 SPIRIT OF ROSE (4/1) stalker ran a close up 2nd last
start vs tougher 65K stakes foes on dirt and clocked 84,
but best dirt speed is 90; makes turf debut (RICE 18%-
31%); SIRE (CITY ZIP)-DAM (a daughter of Classic Account)
w/FT TURF (17%-2%). Ramon Dominguez remains in the irons.
1A 5/1 HOOK ME UP (5/1) early runner has high early foot
and is another from the Rice barn making turf debut; SIRE
(HOOK AND LADDER)-DAM (a daughter of Norquesto) w/FT TURF
(2%-9%). Best dirt speed is 92.
2 6/1 HANGINGONAPRAYER (5/1) presser has a good record on
grass (17 4-1-4) and decent turf speed and makes the THIRD
START OFF LAYOFF (30%-61%) after a close 2nd last start vs
weaker 25K conditioned claimers. 2B 6/1 ROGUE’S JEWEL
(6/1) MAIN TRACK ONLY; back from a 7+mo layoff (34%-66%).
Both are trained by Carlos Martin.
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BEL RACE 9 $100K MIKE LEE Stakes 7F 3YO
Top Selections: 2-4-5 Class Rating: 2-5-3
Speed Rating: 2-5-4
Speed Par for this Race: 96
2 2/1 IBBOYEE (2/1) presser won the 100K Spend A Buck
last start at MTH and clocked 97, but best recent speed
was in the race before when he clocked 107 while finishing
a close up 2nd in the G3 Withers at AQU. Johnny V. rides
for Pletcher.
4 5/2 GENERAL MAXIMUS (5/2) early runner has high early
foot and is the likely pacesetter; beat similar 100K
stakes competition last start over the BEL main and is
undefeated in 2 starts over the track.
5 5/1 RAYNICK’S JET (5/1) owns good closing speed and
enters off an entry level allowance win. Best dirt speed
is 101.
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BEL RACE 10 CLM 20K 6F TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 9-5-6-4 Class Rating: 6-5-4
Speed Rating: 4-6-9
Speed Par for this Race: 81
9 9/2 CORONATION DAY (9/2) stalker may be a decent VALUE
PLAY if he can repeat the 94 he clocked 2 starts ago vs
tougher 25K OC company; class drop may help (46%-77%) as
may this THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (16%-51%).
5 7/2 INHALER (3/1) stalker is back from a 10+ mo layoff
(19%-46%) and before the break was clocking decent speed
figures on the turf (high 80’s) and racing against tougher
2nd level allowance stock. In for a tag for the first time
in his 10 race career (22%-47%).
6 3/1 CIRES (3/1) stalker has a bit higher early speed out
of the gate than my top pick does and enters this off a
very good 2nd last start vs tougher 25K non 3 life
claimers and the class drop may help (16%-40%); threat
right back after clocking 86 in that race.
4 5/1 CHAYSEN’ ALEX (4/1) closer beat 10K non 2 life
claimers last start an clocked 93; steps up more than 2
levels (0/1-0/1).
Contact Kristin Slape at hulabird@prodigy.net and on
Twitter @hulabird1
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