Kristin Slape’s BELMONT PARK PICKS
Placed for SATURDAY, June 26, 2010 1st Post 1 PM EST
Good Luck!
Pick Info:
Speed figure references are BRIS figures
FTS-First time starter
FT First time (as in FT lasix)
2nd timer-horse making 2nd career start
HFC=Horse for Course
TS = Turf Specialist
DS = Distance Specialist
OC=Optional Claiming/Allowance
MC=Maiden claiming
MDN=Maiden Special Weight
HCP=Handicap
ALW=Allowance and ST ALW =Starter Allowance
G1, G2, G3 =Graded Stakes
ML odds listed first and Fair Odds after horse name in ( ).
Stats listed are in win-ITM (in the money) format (Example
25%-50% would mean 25% wins and 50% ITM)
Alternate pick in case of scratch: these are as said, in
case of a scratch, but also can be used in gimmicks-
(consider them in order as my 5th, 6th choice). Use the
speed and class rating horses as chance LONGSHOT PLAYS or
additions to your gimmicks as they come through quite
often as well.
WAGERING TIP: Never bet against a legitimate favorite—only
bet against the favorites that are false or vulnerable
favorites. If you decided before you looked at the tote on
a particular horse because it had what it takes to win the
race and then look at the tote and the horse is 1/9, DO
NOT bet against that horse because of the odds, either sit
that race out and enjoy watching the race, OR bet it
(course 1/9 is not a smart bet), but do not hunt because
of the odds. Better to find another race where you will
get a square price than to waste a bet.
BELMONT PARK PICKS FOR SATURDAY- GOOD LUCK TODAY!
BEL RACE 1 ST ALW 50K 1M 1/16 iTURF 3UP
Top Selections: 7-5-3-1 Class Rating: 3-10-5
Speed Rating: 3-10-1
Speed Par for this Race:
7 3/1 BRITISH BANKER (3/1) closer came up 1L shy of
victory when finishing 4th vs similar and clocking 88 last
start and now makes the 2nd off the claim (31%-46%); also
2nd start with trainer Chad Brown (23%-55%).
5 7/2 MISSINGLISALEWIS (7/2) presser ran a close up 5th
last start vs similar and clocked 87; makes the 2nd start
off the layoff (22%-41%) which could bring improvement.
HFC (9 2-1-2) and decent record at distance (7 1-1-3). TS
(13 3-2-3).
3 10/1 STARGLEAM (8/1) closer does have some speed and may
be a decent VALUE PLAY; ran a close up 5th beaten just 3L
last start vs 35K OC company and clocked 90. Makes the
third grass start today.
1 6/1 DANTASTIC (6/1) closer is a TS (18 4-21-4) and a DS
(13 3-2-3); makes the often rewarding THIRD START OFF
LAYOFF (11%-32%). BEL (13 3-0-4).
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BEL RACE 2 CLM 7.5K 7 ˝ F 3UP
Top Selections: 6-1-2 Class Rating: 1-2-6
Speed Rating: 2-6-1
Speed Par for this Race: 87
6 9/5 EARLY RESPONSE (2/1) stalker ran 86 vs 10K open
claimers last start (4th) and now drops a level (5%-21%);
may like the shorter distance today.
1 2/1 SMILE OF SUCCESS (5/2) presser ran a close up 2nd
last start vs similar and ran 82; goes route to sprint
(21%-36%) and is not without a shot for the win.
2 4/1 FORTYNINEGEORGEST. (7/2) closer is 2 wins for 3
starts at today’s distance and 1 for 2 over the BEL main;
ran a distant 5th last start vs tougher 10K open claimers
and trainer is (21%-29%) on the class drop.
-----------------------------------
BEL RACE 3 ALW 52n1x 6 ˝ F 3UP
Top Selections: 2-1-3-6 Class Rating: 6-3-2
Speed Rating: 3-2-6
Speed Par for this Race: 98
2 7/5 CAPPIWINO (8/5) presser ran a close up 3rd vs
tougher 79.5K entry level allowance foes last start and
best dirt speed is 99.
1 7/2 BONAVENTO (3/1) Todd Pletcher charge is back from an
8+ mo layoff (21%-50%); should like added distance and
best dirt speed is 90.
3 4/1 MONTE CARLO (4/1) stalker has tactical speed and is
another that may be helped with the shorter distance.
6 5/1 BROKEN HOME (4/1) stalker ran a close up 4th last
start vs similar and clocked 90 but best dirt speed is 100
on the slop and 97 on a fast track.
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BEL RACE 4 ALW 53n1x 1M 1/16 iTURF 3UP
Top Selections: 8-6-4-3 Class Rating: 1-8-4
Speed Rating: 6-1-3
Speed Par for this Race: 92
8 7/2 COMPLIANCE OFFICER (5/2) early runner has high early
foot and ran a good 2nd last start vs similar while
clocking 88; best turf speed is 96 which he ran in the
race prior. HFC (5 2-2-1); DS (3 1-1-1); TS (8 3-3-2).
6 8/5 SPANISH ART (2/1) closer ran a close up 3rd last
start vs 35K OC company and clocked 87, but best turf
speed is 95; beaten favorite last start (15%-51%).
4 5/1 YANKEE EMPIRE (4/1) presser makes the 2nd start off
the layoff (20%-58%); ran 7th last start vs 63K 1st level
allowance company; best turf speed is 91.
3 8/1 FORWARD HARCH (6/1) closer broke maiden last start
(45K special weights) in his first start on the sod and
clocked 93; back from a 3+ mo layoff (18%-37%) for the
Violette barn. Meets winners today.
---------------------------------------------
BEL RACE 5 MDN 36K 6F TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 1-8-2-4 Class Rating: 1-2-4
Speed Rating: 1-2-10
Speed Par for this Race: 85
1 4/5 HEAR THE FOOTSTEPS (6/5) presser ran a close up 3rd
in both of only 2 starts vs similar at today’s
distance/turf; best turf speed is 84.
8 10/1 MIKE’S INSTINCT (6/1) FTS TERRANOVA (50 14%-44%);
DEBUTS ON TURF (0/5-0/5); SIRE (SEATTLE FITZ)-DAM (a
daughter of Gone West) w/FT TURF (27%-16%). May be well
spotted here.
2 4/1 VICTORIOUS LEADER (4/1) presser is 2 for 4 ITM on
sod and best turf speed is 86 run over the BEL turf last
May. Ran 2nd in last vs similar.
4 6/1 GOOD TO BE ME (9/2) early runner is 1 for 2 ITM on
grass (3rd) and best turf speed is 72. Dirt to turf (24%-
44%).
-----------------------------------------
BEL RACE 6 ST ALW 10K 6F 3UP
Top Selections: 7-1-2-6 Class Rating: 4-1-2
Speed Rating: 1-6-2
Speed Par for this Race: 93
7 3/1 MARINA MARKET (3/1) early runner ran a close up 3rd
last start vs 10K open claimers (86) and makes the first
start since the claim (18%-54%); HFC (13 2-2-4); has some
back speed which exceeds the speed par for this race.
1 2/1 KHAN OF KHANS (5/2) early runner has high early
speed and is the likely pacesetter; beat 10K open claimers
last start by 3L and clocked 90; 1st off the claim (22%-
28%); DS (10 3-1-2) and BEL (2 1-0-1);1A 2/1 KILN CREEK
(5/2) closer ran a close ip 2nd last start vs 7.5K
claimers and clocked 87 and also makes the 1st start since
being claimed (22%-28%).
2 7/2 ELTISH STAR (7/2) closer ran a close up 2nd last
start vs tougher 20K open claimers and cloc4ed 90; BEL (7
0-1-3).
6 8/1 RAPID MON (8/1) THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (0/8-25%);
2bnd start with trainer (0/7-14%); distant 5th in last vs
tougher 50K starter allowance foes; ran a sharp 100 2 back
when beating 10K non 3 life claimers.
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BEL RACE 7 MC 25K 1M 1/16 TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 1-4-9 Class Rating: 11-1-4
Speed Rating: 11-6-1
Speed Par for this Race: 77
1 3/1 SWEAT SHOP (3/1) in for a tag for the first time
(28%-61%) after running a good 2nd last start and clocking
81. 1st start with trainer Bruce Levine (24%-55%); back
from a year-plus layoff (30%-61%); 1A 3/1 HIGH PRIZE (3/1)
early runner makes the 2nd grass start (25%-40%) and 2nd
route race (10%-40%); best turf speed is 75.
4 4/1 MYSTIC FEVER (4/1) early runner makes the often
rewarding THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (8%-38%); best turf speed
is 79.
9 5/1 KIJO (5/1) early runner ran a good third last start
vs similar and clocked 72; best turf speed is 81.
--------------------------------------------
BEL RACE 8 MC 16K 6F iTURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 4-8-5-7 Class Rating: 4-5-7
Speed Rating: 4-8-5
Speed Par for this Race: 77
4 5/2 OFFICER FLIRT (5/2) presser is 2 for 4 ITM on the
sod and best turf speed is 74; also 2 for 3 ITM at today’s
distance; class drop (15%-45%); THIRD START OFF LAYOFF
(14%-46%).
8 6/1 LUCKY FLIGHT (7/2) Stanley Hough charge is a 2nd
timer (11%-34%); FT TURF (4%-29%); SIRE (STORMY ATLANTIC)-
DAM (daughter of Gone West) w/FT TURF (13%-15%). Ran 72 on
dirt in the debut
5 3/1 HEAR HER ROAR (3/1) closer makes the THIRD START OFF
LAYOFF (31%-60%); and takes a drop in class (15 33%-73%).
7 5/1 MYSTICAL CODE (4/1) presser ran 3rd in last start vs
tougher 25K maiden claimers; drops a notch (21 5%-33%).
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BEL RACE 9 G1 $250K MOTHER GOOSE S. 1M 1/16 TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 3-2-4 Class Rating: 3-2-1
Speed Rating: 3-5-4
Speed Par for this Race: 102
3 6/5 DEVIL MAY CARE (6/5) presser returns from a 56 day
rest (25%-51%) after a 10th place effort against the boys
in the G1 KY DERBY where she clocked 92; won the G2 Bonnie
Lass and clocked 101 in the start prior and is 1/1 at BEL.
2 3/1 AILALEA (3/1) Pletcher trainee enters off a win in
the G3 Dogwood last start and clocked 92. Another who is 1
for 1 over the BEL turf.
4 7/2 CONNIE AND MICHAEL (7/2) early runner will likely
set the pace after beating entry level allowance company
last start and clocking 89. McPeek charge makes the 2nd
start off the layoff (20%-47%).
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BEL RACE 10 ALW 39n1x 1M 1/16 TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 2-11-8-5 Class Rating: 2-8-1
Speed Rating: 8-6-12
Speed Par for this Race: 87
2 5/2 SEATTLE MISSION (5/2) stalker ran 91 while finishing
a good 2nd last start vs similar clocking 91. 2nd start
since layoff (20%-58%).
11 7/2 ADAM RIDES AGAIN (3/1) early runner broke maiden
last start and clocked 79 in first race on turf and can
improve speed with this 2nd try(23%-47%) as he meets
winners for the forst time.
8 6/1 COPS FEVER (9/2) presser is my VALUE PLAY; makes the
THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (5 40%-40%) after running 85 while
finishing 4th last start vs similar.
5 8/1 MONASTIR (8/1) presser ran a close up 3rd last start
vs similar and clocked 87; 3 for 5 ITM on turf; 2 for 3
ITM at distance. Jock switch to Castellano who, in my
opinion is a more than decent turf rider.
Contact Kristin Slape at hulabird@prodigy.net and on
Twitter @hulabird1
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