Kristin Slape’s BELMONT PARK PICKS
Placed for FRIDAY, July 2, 2010 1st Post 1 PM EST
Good Luck!
Pick Info:
Speed figure references are BRIS figures
FTS-First time starter
FT First time (as in FT lasix)
2nd timer-horse making 2nd career start
HFC=Horse for Course
TS = Turf Specialist
DS = Distance Specialist
OC=Optional Claiming/Allowance
MC=Maiden claiming
MDN=Maiden Special Weight
HCP=Handicap
ALW=Allowance and ST ALW =Starter Allowance
G1, G2, G3 =Graded Stakes
ML odds listed first and Fair Odds after horse name in ( ).
Stats listed are in win-ITM (in the money) format (Example
25%-50% would mean 25% wins and 50% ITM)
Alternate pick in case of scratch: these are as said, in
case of a scratch, but also can be used in gimmicks-
(consider them in order as my 5th, 6th choice). Use the
speed and class rating horses as chance LONGSHOT PLAYS or
additions to your gimmicks as they come through quite
often as well.
WAGERING TIP: Never bet against a legitimate favorite—only
bet against the favorites that are false or vulnerable
favorites. If you decided before you looked at the tote on
a particular horse because it had what it takes to win the
race and then look at the tote and the horse is 1/9, DO
NOT bet against that horse because of the odds, either sit
that race out and enjoy watching the race, OR bet it
(course 1/9 is not a smart bet), but do not hunt because
of the odds. Better to find another race where you will
get a square price than to waste a bet.
BELMONT PARK PICKS FOR FRIDAY- GOOD LUCK TODAY!
BEL RACE 1 CLM 12.5Kn2L 6 ½ F 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 7-4-3-6 Class Rating: 4-7-3
Speed Rating: 7-6-4
Speed Par for this Race: 79
7 2/1 KICK THE CRUISER (2/1) early runner is in for a tag
for the first time ever (17%-39%) and makes the 2nd start
off the layoff (11%-35%); this is the lowest level of her
4 race (4 1-1-1) career.
3 5/2 DELTA HOLIDAY (5/2) presser broke maiden (MC 12.5K)
last start by 13L and clocked 75 and now comes off a 2+ mo
layoff (10%-44%) as she meets winners.
4 3/1 WINE BAR (3/1) early runner is the likely pacesetter
and makes the 1st start since the claim (19%-55%); beat
15K non 2 lifers last start and now takes a drop off that
win (30%-56%).
6 5/1 FIONA STORM (4/1) VALUE PLAY; stalker’s only win
came at today’s distance and over the BEL oval; lifetime
record (6 1-3-1).
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BEL RACE 2 MDN 50K 5F 2YO
Top Selections: 6-1-4-7 Class Rating: 6-1A
Speed Rating: 6-1A
Speed Par for this Race: 93
6 8/5 BOYS AT TOSCONOVA (9/5) 2nd timer makes the first
start with trainer Rick Dutrow (26%-51%) and ran 96 while
running a close up 2nd vs tougher in the G3 KY Juvenile
last start in her debut.
1 3/1 BRAHMAN (5/1) PLETCHER FTS (17%-42%); SIRE (HOLY
BULL)-DAM (a daughter of Conquistador Cielo) w/FTS (8%9%);
decent work tab; 1A 3/1 VOLCKER (5/2) is an AE list horse
so must draw in but if he does he may be a threat;
Pletcher is (23%-50%) with 2nd timers and this one ran a
close up third while clocking 93 in the debut last start
vs tougher 75K special weights.
4 4/1 LEAVE OF ABSENCE (4/1) VIOLETTE FTS (20%-49%); SIRE
(HARLAN’S HOLIDAY)-DAM (a daughter of Joyeux Danse) w/FTS
(13%-5%); sharp 5f ft BULLET drill at AQU on 6/23
7 12/1 BRILLIANT SPEED (5/1) ALBERTRANI FTS (15%-35%);
SIRE (DYNAFORMER)-DAM (a daughter of Gone West) w/FTS (12%-
17%)
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BEL RACE 3 OC 100Kb 1M 1/16 iTURF 3UP
Top Selections: 3-6-2 Class Rating: 6-1-3
Speed Rating: 3-6-1
Speed Par for this Race: 95
3 4/1 GANGBUSTER (3/1) closer makes the often rewarding
THIRD START OFF LAYOFF (14%-62%) after being beaten 17L by
tougher in the G2 Brooklyn H. Best turf speed is 107 which
was posted 2 starts back.
6 3/1 WESLEY (5/2) deep closer ran 103 while finishing 7th
vs tougher G2 company in the Dixie S. and now comes back
from a 48 day rest (13%-38%). Threat.
2 6/1 STAYING ON (4/1) presser makes the 2nd start off the
layoff (24%-54%) after a 6th place effort last start vs
100K stakes company; best turf speed is 100 posted 2
starts ago.
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BEL RACE 4 MDN 37K 1M 3UP
Top Selections: 4-3-5-6 Class Rating: 3-4-5
Speed Rating: 3-4-5
Speed Par for this Race: 80
4 6/5 WINNING TOKEN (6/5) presser ran a very good 2nd in
last start (84) vs 50K maiden claimers and now step back
up to special weights.
3 7/2 RAFFINATOR (7/2) presser ran a distant third last
start vs similar and clocked 82. Goes sprint to route (6%-
28%).
5 9/2 WHO’S WILLIE FITZ (9/2) closer gets FT lasix (0/6-
17%) and makes the first start at a route (0/3-0/3); best
dirt speed is 82.
6 10/1 FORTITUDE (8/1) 2nd timer (14%-32%) gets FT
blinkers (21%-48%); FT route (18%-35%).
---------------------------------------------
BEL RACE 5 CLM 16Kn3L 6F iTURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 7-5-8-3 Class Rating: 7-8-5
Speed Rating: 7-5-8
Speed Par for this Race: 80
7 5/2 COME FROM AWAY (5/2) ran a very good 3rd last start
vs tougher 50K starter allowance foes and clocked 82; best
turf speed is 85; back from an 11+ mo layoff (14%-23%).
5 3/1 LORRAINE IN SPAIN (3/1) closer drops a level (10 10%-
80%) and rates well in this field; THIRD START OFF LAYOFF;
2 wins for 7 BEL starts.
8 4/1 HELLO GOLD (4/1) closer takes a class drop (0/2-0/2)
and best turf speed is 84; however does lack wins in some
key areas: BEL (8 0-3-2); DISTANCE (5 01-2); TURF (11 0-4-
2)
3 6/1 STRAIGHT A STUDENT (8/1) stalker ran a very good 2nd
two starts ago and clocked 78 vs tougher; bets turf speed
is 82. Can take a share of the gimmicks with best.
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BEL RACE 6 ALW 52Kn1x 6 ½ F 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 7-6-5-3 Class Rating: 7-6-2
Speed Rating: 7-6-3
Speed Par for this Race: 95
7 4/1 NONNA MIA (3/1) early runner makes the 2nd start
with Todd Pletcher (14%-49%) and the 2nd start since the
layoff (22%-54%); ran 4th in last vs tougher 76/5K entry
level allowance foes; best dirt speed is 98.
6 3/1 WHITE CHIFFON (7/2) stalker beat 50K starter
allowance foes last start for the Asmussen barn and
clocked 95 at today’s distance. Threat.
5 7/2 MUHAAWARA (4/1) McLaughlin charge makes the THIRD
START OFF LAYOFF after a close up 2nd in last vs non 2
life allowance foes where he ran 88. Stalker.
3 4/1 BIZ JET (4/1) Tom Albertrani charge comes back from
a 50 day rest (19%-46%); ran a 90 career best 2 back when
breaking maiden and the turn back to a sprint may help
today.
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BEL RACE 7 CLM 20Kn1my 1M 1/16 TURF 3UP F&M
Top Selections: 8-3-9-4 Class Rating: 11-2-1
Speed Rating: 11-1-3
Speed Par for this Race: 83
8 5/2 BOXITUP (5/2) stalker ran a very good 2nd vs 20Kn1y
claiming company last start and clocked 85; HFC (11 2-2-2)
and DS (11 2-3-3).
9 4/1 HIGHER INCENTIVE (7/2) presser makes the 2nd start
off the claim (9%-34%) and 2nd start with trainer (0/12-
25%); HFC (10 3-3-2) and DS (10 1-3-3).
3 6/1 MOLLYISINTHECLOUDS (4/1) presser ran a close up 4th
in last start vs 20Kn1y claimers and clocked 82; DS (11 2-
2-2); best recent turf speed is 88 (three back).
4 10/1 EAST COASTER (10/1) presser drops a level (14%-23%)
after a close up 2nd in last start vs tougher 25Kn2m
claimers clocking 86; picks up a share with best.
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BEL RACE 8 OC 50Kn$y 1M ¼ iTURF 3UP
Top Selections: 1-8-7-6 Class Rating: 1A-2-1
Speed Rating: 1A-8-2
Speed Par for this Race: 95
1 2/1 ARMSTRONG MILL (5/2) presser ran a close up 3rd last
start vs 50K OC (no conditions, ran as an allowance entry)
company and clocked 88; DS (4 2-0-2); best recent turf
speed is 94 (2 back) 1A 2/1 GRASSY (2/1) closer ran 100
last start vs tougher in the G2 Dixie, finishing 10th;
easier spot here and he is rested from a 48 day break (21%-
57%).
8 5/1 THABAZIMBI (4/1) early runner is more of a 2nd tier
horse and that may help chances today as more than likely
my 3rd pick will set the pace; ran a close up 6th last
start vs 54K conditioned allowance company and clocked 95;
is 1 for 3 at today’s distance.
7 7/2 POCKET COWBOYS (7/2) early runner ran a close up 2nd
last start at today’s distance and clocked 88; won at this
distance two starts back and Prado is sticking with him
for another try.
6 8/1 INTO MY SOUL (5/1) stalker ran 90 and a close up 7th
last start vs 2nd level allowance foes; HFC (2 1-1-0).
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BEL RACE 9 MC 35K 1M TURF 3UP
Top Selections: 1-2-13-14 Class Rating:14-13-1
Speed Rating: 1-13-14
Speed Par for this Race: 79
1 5/2 THE CUFF SHOOTER (5/2) presser is 6 for 12 ITM on
the sod and best turf speed is 83. THIRD START OFF LAYOFF
(32%-59%); blinkers off (5 20%-20%).
2 5/1 CITY WHISPER (5/1) Linda Rice 2nd timer (17%-45%)
also makes the 2nd start on sod (16%-34%); Has a decent
turf pedigree so hopefully will show improved effort today.
13 6/1 AMBASSADOR BRIDGE (5/1) stalker makes the 2nd grass
start (11 18%-27%); Ran a 72 while finishing 2nd in the
turf debut last start. Must draw in
14 4/1 OMMADON’S ANSWER (5/1) presser is another that has
to draw in; best turf speed is 76; back in for a tag (4%-
23%).
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Contact Kristin Slape at hulabird@prodigy.net and on
Twitter @hulabird1
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